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keisanHigh-precision calculations for everyday life and work

The probability of obtaining N or more Hishimochi in KanColle

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I’ll calculate the probability of getting N hishi-mochi in KanColle.
In KanColle, the item “Hishimochi” began dropping in certain海域 starting on February 23, 2015.
Therefore, I will calculate the probability of obtaining N or more of them to complete the mission.
Number of attempts
Probability of Hishimochi Appearing
The default value is assumed to be 3-3.
Number of Hishimochi desired (N)
The default value is "lookout duty."
The probability of getting N or more hishimochi 

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